Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000272 0.000304 0.000340 0.000381 0.000428 0.000479 0.000539
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000210 0.000256 0.000311 0.000381 0.000467 0.000572 0.000709
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000171 0.000221 0.000286 0.000373 0.000491 0.000643 0.000858
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000148 0.000202 0.000274 0.000378 0.000526 0.000729 0.001035
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000187 0.000264 0.000381 0.000556 0.000811 0.001216
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000166 0.000243 0.000364 0.000554 0.000843 0.001325
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000155 0.000235 0.000366 0.000579 0.000917 0.001509
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000151 0.000237 0.000382 0.000627 0.001034 0.001777
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000140 0.000225 0.000374 0.000635 0.001083 0.001936
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000126 0.000209 0.000356 0.000623 0.001096 0.002030
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000121 0.000205 0.000361 0.000650 0.001181 0.002271
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000120 0.000209 0.000378 0.000702 0.001319 0.002634
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000113 0.000200 0.000372 0.000712 0.001380 0.002858
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000107 0.000195 0.000371 0.000732 0.001464 0.003145
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000100 0.000186 0.000364 0.000737 0.001520 0.003379
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000097 0.000184 0.000369 0.000768 0.001633 0.003764
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000093 0.000181 0.000372 0.000796 0.001742 0.004159
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000086 0.000169 0.000355 0.000778 0.001747 0.004297
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000082 0.000166 0.000357 0.000802 0.001852 0.004708
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000082 0.000169 0.000373 0.000861 0.002047 0.005391
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000078 0.000163 0.000365 0.000862 0.002101 0.005701
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000071 0.000152 0.000347 0.000837 0.002085 0.005810
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000070 0.000151 0.000351 0.000867 0.002217 0.006376